Olimpija LjubljanavsQarabag

Olimpija Ljubljana are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Qarabag are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Qarabag hold a 39.8-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 71.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.5% in the UEFA Europa League, while Qarabag holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.