Olimpija Ljubljanavs
Mura
COMPLETEDSlovenia · 1. SNL · 10/10/2026, 6:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olimpija Ljubljana · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Olimpija Ljubljana 3-3 Mura
Original prediction
Olimpija Ljubljana
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.61 | 56.5% | 43.0% | -13.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 25.2% | 27.8% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 4.95 | 18.4% | 29.3% | 10.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.62 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Olimpija Ljubljana
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
43.0%
Olimpija Ljubljana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00