GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 9/23/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Olimpia Zambrów are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki hold a 28.6-point power-rating edge (47.5 v 76.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.6% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Probability

65.6%

Model confidence

65.6%

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Olimpia ZambrówDWDDL

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiDWWWW

GF 16 · GA 5 · avg 3.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Olimpia ZambrówPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
51.0Attack100.0
52.9Defence68.6
39.2Form74.5
47.5Power76.1
0.96xG2.42
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