Olimpia Zambrówvs
Pelikan Łowicz
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 1 · 9/26/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olimpia Zambrów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Olimpia Zambrów 1-3 Pelikan Łowicz
Original prediction
Olimpia Zambrów
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.56 | 35.1% | 37.2% | 2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 25.4% | 27.4% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 2.27 | 39.5% | 35.4% | -4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Olimpia Zambrów
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
37.2%
Olimpia Zambrów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 18 · avg 2.00/3.60
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60