Olimpia Zambrówvs
Mławianka Mława
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 1 · 10/24/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olimpia Zambrów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Olimpia Zambrów 1-1 Mławianka Mława
Original prediction
Olimpia Zambrów
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.00 | 45.2% | 38.0% | -7.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.71 | 24.4% | 25.5% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.97 | 30.4% | 36.5% | 6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.71 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Olimpia Zambrów
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
Olimpia Zambrów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 14 · GA 12 · avg 2.80/2.40