GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 8/27/2023, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Olimpia Zambrów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Olimpia Zambrów are 0W-0D-4L in their last 4 (LLLL), averaging 0.75 scored and 2.50 conceded, while Mławianka Mława are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Olimpia Zambrów hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (47.5 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.1% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Olimpia Zambrów holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Olimpia Zambrów

Probability

49.1%

Model confidence

49.1%

Olimpia Zambrów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Olimpia ZambrówLLLL

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.75/2.50

BTTS 3/4O2.5 3/4
Mławianka MławaLLWLL

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Olimpia ZambrówMławianka Mława
51.0Attack39.2
52.9Defence50.0
39.2Form38.2
47.5Power43.7
1.68xG1.02
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