Olimpia Zambrówvs
Lechia T. Mazowiecki
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 1 · 10/11/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lechia T. Mazowiecki · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Olimpia Zambrów 3-0 Lechia T. Mazowiecki
Original prediction
Lechia T. Mazowiecki
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 8 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.36 | 38.2% | 35.1% | -3.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 23.9% | 26.1% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.38 | 37.9% | 38.9% | 1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Lechia T. Mazowiecki
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Lechia T. Mazowiecki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20