GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 11/4/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Olimpia Zambrów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Olimpia Zambrów are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Jagiellonia II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 47.5 against 46.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.4% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Olimpia Zambrów holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Olimpia Zambrów

Probability

46.4%

Model confidence

46.4%

Olimpia Zambrów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Olimpia ZambrówDWWWD

GF 9 · GA 1 · avg 1.80/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Jagiellonia IIWDLLW

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Olimpia ZambrówJagiellonia II
51.0Attack48.0
52.9Defence46.1
39.2Form44.1
47.5Power46.8
1.79xG1.26
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