GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 6/1/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Olimpia Zambrów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Olimpia Zambrów are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Bełchatów are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Bełchatów hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (47.5 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.8% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Olimpia Zambrów holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Olimpia Zambrów

Probability

35.8%

Model confidence

35.8%

Olimpia Zambrów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Olimpia ZambrówLWLLW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BełchatówLWWLL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Olimpia ZambrówBełchatów
51.0Attack56.9
52.9Defence52.0
39.2Form54.9
47.5Power54.7
1.56xG1.53
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