Olimpiavs
Vasco DA Gama
SCHEDULEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 8/20/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olimpia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Olimpia are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Vasco DA Gama are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Olimpia hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (68.1 v 60.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.7% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Olimpia holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Olimpia
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
14.7%
Olimpia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40