OlimpiavsVasco DA Gama

Olimpia are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Vasco DA Gama are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Olimpia hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (68.1 v 60.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.9% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Olimpia holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.