Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olimpia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Olimpia are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Tacuary are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Tacuary hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (41.5 v 47.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.0% in the Division Profesional - Clausura, while Olimpia holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Olimpia
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
Olimpia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60
GF 7 · GA 17 · avg 1.40/3.40