Olimpiavs
Sportivo Luqueno
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Profesional - Clausura · 9/13/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olimpia · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Olimpia 3-0 Sportivo Luqueno
Original prediction
Olimpia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.47 | 62.4% | 67.2% | 4.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.13 | 22.2% | 19.5% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 5.94 | 15.4% | 13.3% | -2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Olimpia
Probability
67.2%
Model confidence
67.2%
Olimpia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40