Olimpiavs
Nacional Asuncion
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Profesional - Clausura · 10/6/2026, 10:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olimpia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Olimpia 0-0 Nacional Asuncion, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Olimpia 1-1 Nacional Asuncion
Original prediction
Olimpia
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 13:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.13 | 43.1% | 41.8% | -1.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.11 | 29.5% | 31.0% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 3.36 | 27.4% | 27.2% | -0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.11 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.3 pts
Projected Score
Olimpia 0–0 Nacional Asuncion
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Olimpia
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Olimpia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80