Olimpiavs
Nacional Asuncion
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Profesional - Clausura · 7/23/2023, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Olimpia are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Nacional Asuncion are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Nacional Asuncion hold a 10.0-point power-rating edge (41.5 v 51.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.3% in the Division Profesional - Clausura, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.3%
Model confidence
36.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80