Olimpiavs
Club Guarani
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Profesional - Clausura · 9/2/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olimpia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Olimpia 1-0 Club Guarani, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Olimpia 1-1 Club Guarani
Original prediction
Olimpia
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.62 | 56.7% | 49.9% | -6.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.67 | 25.1% | 27.5% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 5.08 | 18.1% | 22.6% | 4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.67 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.8 pts
Projected Score
Olimpia 1–0 Club Guarani
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Olimpia
Probability
49.9%
Model confidence
49.9%
Olimpia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
OlimpiaWWWLW
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Club GuaraniDDLLD
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
OlimpiaClub Guarani
52.4Attack33.3
66.7Defence66.7
57.1Form42.9
58.4Power50.6
1.23xG0.73