GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/16/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Olimpia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Olimpia are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Barracas Central are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Olimpia hold a 34.4-point power-rating edge (65.4 v 31.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.8% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Olimpia holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Olimpia

Probability

57.8%

Model confidence

57.8%

Olimpia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

OlimpiaWWLDW

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Barracas CentralWDLDW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
OlimpiaBarracas Central
45.8Attack11.1
75.0Defence55.6
70.8Form16.7
65.4Power31.0
1.44xG0.46
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