Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olimpia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Olimpia 0-0 2 de Mayo, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Olimpia 3-0 2 de Mayo
Original prediction
Olimpia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.42 | 64.5% | 53.6% | -10.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.17 | 21.9% | 28.3% | 6.4 pts |
| Away | 6.75 | 13.5% | 18.0% | 4.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.42 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.9 pts
Projected Score
Olimpia 0–0 2 de Mayo
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Olimpia
Probability
53.6%
Model confidence
53.6%
Olimpia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
OlimpiaDDDWW
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
2 de MayoWWDLL
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Olimpia2 de Mayo
52.4Attack40.5
76.2Defence69.0
64.3Form66.7
64.3Power61.5
1.04xG0.55