Olimpia Grudziądzvs
Resovia Rzeszów
COMPLETEDPoland · II Liga - East · 10/12/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olimpia Grudziądz · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Olimpia Grudziądz 1-0 Resovia Rzeszów
Original prediction
Olimpia Grudziądz
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.78 | 50.4% | 47.5% | -3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.57 | 25.2% | 27.4% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 3.69 | 24.3% | 25.2% | 0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.78 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Olimpia Grudziądz
Probability
47.5%
Model confidence
47.5%
Olimpia Grudziądz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00