Olimpia Grudziądzvs
Podhale Nowy Targ
COMPLETEDPoland · II Liga - East · 8/29/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olimpia Grudziądz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Olimpia Grudziądz 1-3 Podhale Nowy Targ
Original prediction
Olimpia Grudziądz
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.90 | 47.4% | 39.3% | -8.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 25.9% | 26.1% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.36 | 26.8% | 34.7% | 7.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Olimpia Grudziądz
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Olimpia Grudziądz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20