Olimpia Elblągvs
Wigry Suwałki
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 1 · 8/29/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wigry Suwałki · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Olimpia Elbląg 1-3 Wigry Suwałki
Original prediction
Wigry Suwałki
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.50 | 25.4% | 30.1% | 4.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.2% | 26.8% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 1.84 | 48.4% | 43.1% | -5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.84 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Wigry Suwałki
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
Wigry Suwałki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40