GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 8/9/2025, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Warta Sieradz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Olimpia Elbląg are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Warta Sieradz are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Warta Sieradz hold a 7.2-point power-rating edge (40.2 v 47.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.4% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Warta Sieradz holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Warta Sieradz

Probability

39.4%

Model confidence

39.4%

Warta Sieradz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Olimpia ElblągLDLDD

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Warta SieradzLWWLW

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Olimpia ElblągWarta Sieradz
42.2Attack42.2
37.3Defence52.9
34.3Form43.1
40.2Power47.4
1.27xG1.50
View match centre →