Olimpia Elblągvs
Mławianka Mława
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 1 · 10/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olimpia Elbląg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Olimpia Elbląg 2-1 Mławianka Mława
Original prediction
Olimpia Elbląg
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 8 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.05 | 44.0% | 38.2% | -5.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.0% | 26.7% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.91 | 31.0% | 35.1% | 4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.05 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Olimpia Elbląg
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
Olimpia Elbląg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 14 · GA 17 · avg 2.80/3.40