GGOALVIO

Poland · II Liga - East · 7/22/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Olimpia Elbląg are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Lech Poznań II are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Olimpia Elbląg hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 43.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.0% in the II Liga - East, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.0%

Model confidence

38.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Olimpia ElblągLLLLL

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Lech Poznań IIDL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 1.50/2.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Olimpia ElblągLech Poznań II
34.3Attack33.3
54.9Defence51.0
39.2Form38.2
45.3Power43.2
1.09xG0.82
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