Olimpia Elblągvs
Jagiellonia II
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 1 · 10/24/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olimpia Elbląg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Olimpia Elbląg 0-0 Jagiellonia II
Original prediction
Olimpia Elbląg
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.34 | 38.5% | 42.3% | 3.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 26.1% | 26.6% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.55 | 35.4% | 31.1% | -4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.45 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Olimpia Elbląg
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Olimpia Elbląg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20