GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 8/23/2025, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Jagiellonia II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Olimpia Elbląg are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Jagiellonia II are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Jagiellonia II hold a 6.6-point power-rating edge (40.2 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.7% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Jagiellonia II holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Jagiellonia II

Probability

40.7%

Model confidence

40.7%

Jagiellonia II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Olimpia ElblągWLLDL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Jagiellonia IILDWWD

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Olimpia ElblągJagiellonia II
42.2Attack48.0
37.3Defence46.1
34.3Form44.1
40.2Power46.8
1.45xG1.71
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