GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 10/11/2025, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bełchatów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Olimpia Elbląg are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Bełchatów are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Bełchatów hold a 14.5-point power-rating edge (40.2 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.4% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Bełchatów holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bełchatów

Probability

52.4%

Model confidence

52.4%

Bełchatów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Olimpia ElblągDDLDL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
BełchatówDLWWL

GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Olimpia ElblągBełchatów
42.2Attack56.9
37.3Defence52.0
34.3Form54.9
40.2Power54.7
1.26xG2.08
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