Persha LigaPersha Liga
Friday, 24 July 2026Last updated 10:07
Oleksandria

Oleksandria

Home
WL
11
Full time
Nyva Ternopil

Nyva Ternopil

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
41% confidence
Oleksandria(41%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Oleksandria
41%
Draw
27%
Nyva Ternopil
32%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Oleksandria
73
Nyva Ternopil
34
Defence
Oleksandria
46
Nyva Ternopil
27
Momentum
Oleksandria
50
Nyva Ternopil
0
Danger (xG)
Oleksandria
1.80
Nyva Ternopil
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Oleksandria)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Nyva Ternopil)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Oleksandria)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (Nyva Ternopil)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
OleksandriaOleksandria
WL
Nyva TernopilNyva Ternopil
LW

Probability breakdown

41% confidence
Oleksandria41%
Draw27%
Nyva Ternopil32%

Oleksandria leads with 41% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Oleksandria head into this in Persha Liga fixture in mixed form (WL), while Nyva Ternopil arrive in mixed form (L). Oleksandria have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Nyva Ternopil over 1 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Oleksandria's strong attack (73/100) faces a vulnerable Nyva Ternopil defence (27/100), while Nyva Ternopil's attack is up against a average Oleksandria backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Oleksandria's favour.

Oleksandria have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per home match. Nyva Ternopil have won 1 of their last 2 away fixtures, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Oleksandria and Nyva Ternopil in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Oleksandria to win with 41% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Oleksandria 4090%, Draw 2710%, Nyva Ternopil 3200%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Oleksandria

Oleksandria

W
@ Ruh Lviv
17 May 2026
31
L
vs Zorya Luhansk
12 May 2026
12
Nyva Ternopil

Nyva Ternopil

L
@ Karpaty
3 Jul 2026
12
W
@ Podillya Khmelnytskyi
17 May 2026
21

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Oleksandria vs Nyva Ternopil?

GoalVio's model predicts Oleksandria to win with 41% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Oleksandria vs Nyva Ternopil?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Oleksandria vs Nyva Ternopil?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Oleksandria vs Nyva Ternopil?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more