GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Premier League · 8/5/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Oleksandria · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Oleksandria are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Metalist 1925 Kharkiv are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Oleksandria hold a 9.1-point power-rating edge (44.9 v 35.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.0% in the Premier League, while Oleksandria holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Oleksandria

Probability

47.0%

Model confidence

47.0%

Oleksandria has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

OleksandriaWWLWW

GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Metalist 1925 KharkivLLWLW

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
OleksandriaMetalist 1925 Kharkiv
33.3Attack35.6
57.8Defence36.7
37.8Form25.6
44.9Power35.7
1.39xG0.80
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