GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Premier League · 7/30/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kryvbas KR · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Oleksandria are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Kryvbas KR are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Kryvbas KR hold a 41.6-point power-rating edge (44.9 v 86.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.5% in the Premier League, while Kryvbas KR holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kryvbas KR

Probability

44.5%

Model confidence

44.5%

Kryvbas KR has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

OleksandriaWLWWW

GF 18 · GA 7 · avg 3.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Kryvbas KRLDLLW

GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
OleksandriaKryvbas KR
33.3Attack66.7
57.8Defence83.3
37.8Form100.0
44.9Power86.5
0.77xG1.27
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