GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 9/1/2024, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Oleksandria II · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Oleksandria II are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (WDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Trostianets are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Oleksandria II hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (59.1 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.2% in the Druha Liga, while Oleksandria II holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Oleksandria II

Probability

37.2%

Model confidence

37.2%

Oleksandria II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Oleksandria IIWDW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
TrostianetsLWDLW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Oleksandria IITrostianets
22.2Attack33.3
88.9Defence83.3
55.6Form50.0
59.1Power56.2
1.28xG1.10
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