GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 10/12/2024, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Oleksandria II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Hirnyk-Sport are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Oleksandria II hold a 7.6-point power-rating edge (59.1 v 51.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.6% in the Druha Liga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.6%

Model confidence

38.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Oleksandria IIWDLWL

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Hirnyk-SportWDWWW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Oleksandria IIHirnyk-Sport
22.2Attack35.2
88.9Defence63.0
55.6Form48.1
59.1Power51.4
1.06xG0.82
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