Oleksandria IIvs
Chernihiv
COMPLETEDUkraine · Druha Liga · 5/11/2025, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chernihiv · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Oleksandria II are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Chernihiv are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Chernihiv hold a 10.8-point power-rating edge (59.1 v 69.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.7% in the Druha Liga, while Chernihiv holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chernihiv
Probability
47.7%
Model confidence
47.7%
Chernihiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40