OldhamvsManchester City U21

Oldham are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Manchester City U21 are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Manchester City U21 hold a 2.0-point power-rating edge (21.1 v 23.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.6% in the EFL Trophy, while Oldham holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.