Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Old Boys · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Old Boys are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Basel II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Basel II hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Old Boys holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Old Boys
Probability
35.9%
Model confidence
35.9%
Old Boys has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80