Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olancho · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Olancho are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Vida are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Olancho hold a 30.1-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 34.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.3% in the Liga Nacional, while Olancho holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Olancho
Probability
64.3%
Model confidence
64.3%
Olancho has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/3.00