Olanchovs
Real Espana
COMPLETEDHonduras · Liga Nacional · 9/12/2026, 11:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Espana · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Olancho 0-0 Real Espana, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Olancho 1-1 Real Espana
Original prediction
Real Espana
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.56 | 35.0% | 28.7% | -6.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 28.8% | 29.4% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.48 | 36.2% | 41.9% | 5.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.12 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.7 pts
Projected Score
Olancho 0–0 Real Espana
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Real Espana
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Real Espana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
OlanchoDLDWD
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Real EspanaWWDDW
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
OlanchoReal Espana
27.8Attack61.1
77.8Defence83.3
50.0Form77.8
55.0Power75.0
0.74xG1.12