Olanchovs
Atletico Independiente
COMPLETEDHonduras · Liga Nacional · 10/11/2026, 11:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olancho · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Olancho 0-0 Atletico Independiente, with an exact score probability of 25%.
Prediction record
Final result
Olancho 1-1 Atletico Independiente
Original prediction
Olancho
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.40 | 64.3% | 49.5% | -14.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.39 | 20.5% | 30.1% | 9.6 pts |
| Away | 5.96 | 15.1% | 20.3% | 5.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.39 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.8 pts
Projected Score
Olancho 0–0 Atletico Independiente
Exact score probability: 25%
Predicted outcome
Olancho
Probability
49.5%
Model confidence
49.5%
Olancho has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60