GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 5/10/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Washington Spirit W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

OL Reign W are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Washington Spirit W are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Washington Spirit W hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (51.8 v 62.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.6% in the NWSL Women, while Washington Spirit W holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Washington Spirit W

Probability

36.6%

Model confidence

36.6%

Washington Spirit W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

OL Reign WDLDWW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Washington Spirit WWWWWD

GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
OL Reign WWashington Spirit W
42.6Attack50.0
57.4Defence70.0
50.0Form61.7
51.8Power62.1
0.80xG1.20
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