Premier LeaguePremier League
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 12:39
Okzhetpes

Okzhetpes

Home
L
20
Full time
Zhetysu

Zhetysu

Away
L
Okzhetpes Stadium
GoalVio prediction
39% confidence
Draw(25%)
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Okzhetpes
39%
Draw
25%
Zhetysu
37%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Okzhetpes
34
Zhetysu
34
Defence
Okzhetpes
6
Zhetysu
27
Momentum
Okzhetpes
0
Zhetysu
0
Danger (xG)
Okzhetpes
0.90
Zhetysu
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Okzhetpes)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Zhetysu)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Okzhetpes)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Zhetysu)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
OkzhetpesOkzhetpes
LLW
ZhetysuZhetysu
LWL

Probability breakdown

39% confidence
Okzhetpes39%
Draw25%
Zhetysu37%

Okzhetpes leads with 39% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Okzhetpes head into this in Premier League fixture at Okzhetpes Stadium in mixed form (L), while Zhetysu arrive in mixed form (L). Okzhetpes have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Zhetysu over 1 games.

The model rates Okzhetpes's attack at 34/100 against a 27/100 Zhetysu defence, and Zhetysu's attack at 34/100 against a 6/100 Okzhetpes backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Okzhetpes have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game at home. Zhetysu have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 0.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Okzhetpes and Zhetysu in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 39% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. Win probabilities: Okzhetpes 3851%, Draw 2495%, Zhetysu 3654%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Okzhetpes

Okzhetpes

L
@ FK Tobol Kostanay
12 Jul 2026
13
L
vs Kairat Almaty
27 Jun 2026
13
W
vs FC Astana
16 May 2026
10
Zhetysu

Zhetysu

L
@ Aktobe
5 Jul 2026
12
W
vs Aktobe
27 Jun 2026
10
L
@ Ordabasy
13 May 2026
01

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Okzhetpes vs Zhetysu?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 39% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Okzhetpes vs Zhetysu?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Okzhetpes vs Zhetysu?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Okzhetpes vs Zhetysu?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more