Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zhenys · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Okzhetpes are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Zhenys are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Zhenys hold a 53.1-point power-rating edge (6.0 v 59.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.8% in the Cup, while Zhenys holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Zhenys
Probability
50.0%
Model confidence
11.8%
Zhenys has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20