Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Okzhetpes · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Okzhetpes are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Kaisar are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Okzhetpes hold a 9.6-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 43.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.9% in the Premier League, while Okzhetpes holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Okzhetpes
Probability
44.9%
Model confidence
44.9%
Okzhetpes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00