Premier LeaguePremier League
Saturday, 27 June 2026Last updated 10:12
Okzhetpes

Okzhetpes

Home
L
13
Full time
Kairat Almaty

Kairat Almaty

Away
WW
Okzhetpes Stadium
GoalVio prediction
37% confidence
Kairat Almaty(40%)
Most likely exact score0-1
Prediction correct— Result: Kairat Almaty
Win probability
Okzhetpes
32%
Draw
28%
Kairat Almaty
40%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Okzhetpes
34
Kairat Almaty
73
Defence
Okzhetpes
6
Kairat Almaty
82
Momentum
Okzhetpes
0
Kairat Almaty
100
Danger (xG)
Okzhetpes
0.90
Kairat Almaty
1.80
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Okzhetpes)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Kairat Almaty)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Okzhetpes)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Kairat Almaty)
0.45
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
OkzhetpesOkzhetpes
LLW
Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty
WWW

Probability breakdown

37% confidence
Okzhetpes32%
Draw28%
Kairat Almaty40%

Kairat Almaty leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Okzhetpes head into this in Premier League fixture at Okzhetpes Stadium in mixed form (L), while Kairat Almaty arrive in decent form (WW). Okzhetpes have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Kairat Almaty over 2 games.

Tactically, Kairat Almaty hold the edge. Their strong attack (73/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Okzhetpes defence (6/100), while Okzhetpes's attack faces a watertight Kairat Almaty backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Okzhetpes have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game at home. Kairat Almaty have been excellent on the road, winning all 2 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 2.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per away game.

Kairat Almaty have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 4.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Kairat Almaty to win with 37% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-1. Win probabilities: Okzhetpes 3200%, Draw 2780%, Kairat Almaty 4020%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Okzhetpes 0Draws 01 Kairat Almaty
Avg goals: 4.0BTTS in 1/1
27 Jun 2026
Okzhetpes
L13
Kairat Almaty

Recent form

Okzhetpes

Okzhetpes

L
@ FK Tobol Kostanay
12 Jul 2026
13
L
vs Kairat Almaty
27 Jun 2026
13
W
vs FC Astana
16 May 2026
10
Kairat Almaty

Kairat Almaty

W
@ Sutjeska
15 Jul 2026
20
W
vs Sutjeska
8 Jul 2026
21
W
@ Okzhetpes
27 Jun 2026
31

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Okzhetpes vs Kairat Almaty?

GoalVio's model predicts Kairat Almaty to win with 37% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Okzhetpes vs Kairat Almaty?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in Okzhetpes vs Kairat Almaty?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Okzhetpes vs Kairat Almaty?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more