GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · Premier League · 6/21/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Okzhetpes · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Okzhetpes are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while FK Tobol Kostanay are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Okzhetpes hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 43.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.6% in the Premier League, while Okzhetpes holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Okzhetpes

Probability

50.2%

Model confidence

13.6%

Okzhetpes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

OkzhetpesDDWWD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FK Tobol KostanayWDLLD

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
OkzhetpesFK Tobol Kostanay
47.6Attack35.0
54.0Defence53.3
52.4Form36.7
53.0Power43.8
1.47xG0.85
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