Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Astana · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Okzhetpes are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while FC Astana are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Astana hold an 8.9-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 61.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.9% in the Premier League, while FC Astana holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Astana
Probability
44.3%
Model confidence
13.9%
FC Astana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40