Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Okzhetpes are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Aktobe are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 53.0 against 54.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 33.9% in the Premier League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.9%
Model confidence
33.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80