Oita Trinitavs
Ventforet Kofu
COMPLETEDJapan · J2 League · 10/25/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oita Trinita · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Oita Trinita 2-0 Ventforet Kofu, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Oita Trinita 1-1 Ventforet Kofu
Original prediction
Oita Trinita
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.85 | 49.4% | 52.1% | 2.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 28.4% | 26.2% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 4.13 | 22.2% | 21.7% | -0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.23 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.6 pts
Projected Score
Oita Trinita 2–0 Ventforet Kofu
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Oita Trinita
Probability
52.1%
Model confidence
52.1%
Oita Trinita has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 4 · GA 16 · avg 0.80/3.20