Oita Trinitavs
Montedio Yamagata
COMPLETEDJapan · J2 League · 10/3/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Oita Trinita 0-0 Montedio Yamagata, with an exact score probability of 28%.
Prediction record
Final result
Oita Trinita 2-1 Montedio Yamagata
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.59 | 35.4% | 32.4% | -3.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.18 | 28.8% | 33.0% | 4.2 pts |
| Away | 2.56 | 35.8% | 34.7% | -1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.2 pts
Projected Score
Oita Trinita 0–0 Montedio Yamagata
Exact score probability: 28%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.0%
Model confidence
34.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Oita TrinitaDDDDL
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 0/5
Montedio YamagataLWLLW
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Oita TrinitaMontedio Yamagata
29.2Attack41.7
75.0Defence75.0
33.3Form50.0
47.0Power55.6
0.60xG0.71