Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ohrid · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Ohrid are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Novaci are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ohrid hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (50.9 v 42.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.9% in the Second League, while Ohrid holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ohrid
Probability
48.5%
Model confidence
13.9%
Ohrid has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80