Ohridvs
Kozuv Gevgelija
COMPLETEDMacedonia · Second League · 8/30/2026, 2:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ohrid · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ohrid 5-1 Kozuv Gevgelija
Original prediction
Ohrid
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.34 | 67.7% | 50.8% | -17.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.20 | 21.6% | 25.9% | 4.4 pts |
| Away | 8.47 | 10.7% | 23.3% | 12.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.34 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Ohrid
Probability
50.8%
Model confidence
50.8%
Ohrid has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
OhridWWWWW
GF 15 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Kozuv GevgelijaWLLLL
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
OhridKozuv Gevgelija
66.7Attack33.3
66.7Defence50.0
100.0Form50.0
80.3Power45.8
1.68xG1.00